Verification statistics and evaluations of ECMWF forecasts in 2003-2004.
Title | Verification statistics and evaluations of ECMWF forecasts in 2003-2004.
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Technical memorandum
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Date Published |
05/2005
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Secondary Title |
ECMWF Technical Memoranda
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Number |
463
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Author | |
Publisher |
ECMWF
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Abstract | This document presents recent verification statistics and evaluation of ECMWF forecasts. Recent changes to the data assimilation / forecasting and post-processing system are summarised in Section 2. Verification results of the medium range free atmosphere ECMWF forecasts are presented in Section 2, including, when available, a comparison of our forecast performance with other global forecasting centres. Section 3 deals with the verification of ECMWF weather parameters and oceanic wave forecasts. Section 4 has been added this year to describe two "severe weather" studies - one on the forecast performance when dealing with weather patterns associated with severe floods over the southern alpine region, and the other on tropical cyclone forecast accuracy. Finally, Section 5 provides insights into the performance of the seasonal forecast systems. A short technical note describing the scores used in this report is given in Annex A. |
URL | https://www.ecmwf.int/en/elibrary/75317-verification-statistics-and-evaluations-ecmwf-forecasts-2003-2004 |
DOI | 10.21957/g29m7s50 |
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