New developments in the diagnosis and verification of high-impact weather forecasts
Title | New developments in the diagnosis and verification of high-impact weather forecasts
|
Technical memorandum
|
|
Date Published |
2015
|
Secondary Title |
ECMWF Technical Memoranda
|
Number |
759
|
Author | |
Publisher |
ECMWF
|
Abstract |
High-impact weather is of particular interest to forecast users, and its prediction with a seamless ensemble analysis/forecast system is at the heart of ECMWF’s proposed new strategy. Whilst the impacts of weather are user-specific, from a meteorological viewpoint weather can be high-impact by virtue of its extreme amplitude (e.g. tropical cyclones) or its longevity (e.g. heat-waves). Both aspects present a particular challenge for forecast systems, and demand considerable development of diagnostic and verification capabilities. Here, with reference to numerous high-impact weather types, and particular focus on ensemble aspects, we discuss recent developments in these diagnostic and verification capabilities, and our future plans.
|
URL | https://www.ecmwf.int/en/elibrary/78754-new-developments-diagnosis-and-verification-high-impact-weather-forecasts |
DOI | 10.21957/36b0t3mke |
Download citation |